Dr. Mac’s Rants; raves
Episode # 365
It will be my 25e column celebrating a new year, so I went through the archives and discovered that the majority of my New Year’s missives belonged to two categories: forecasts and forecasts or New Year’s resolutions.
In my very first New Years song, in December 1996, I tried to predict the future (and I got it right):
The Internet will become much better integrated with Mac OS and Mac applications from major providers such as Microsoft, Adobe and Claris. The use of the Internet will become more and more transparent for the user; remote sites will appear as extensions of your local network. Many people who never thought of having a home page will create their own home page. And more people than you might think will connect at speeds of 33.6K or more.
There is no doubt that all of the above has been accomplished in abundance. Microsoft, Adobe and Claris (who changed their name to FileMaker, Inc. in 1998, and then changed it to its original nickname – Claris – last year) are all heavily invested in cloud computing and SAAS (Software as a Service); remote sites like FaceBook, Google, Twitter and others are indeed extensions of your network (still active) today; and, of course, connection speeds today reach 1000 Mbps (megabits per second), several orders of magnitude faster than the 1996 pokey 33.6 K (kilobits per second).
Unfortunately, I didn’t always get it right. For example, this prediction for 2013 was only half correct:
Despite rumors to the contrary, Apple will not enter the television industry and will not introduce Apple-brand flat-screen TVs. I would rather expect to see a more powerful version of the Apple TV at $ 99, with new content providers and better synergy with decoders and DVRs.
So even though I was right in predicting that Apple would not be producing flat screen TVs and that Apple TV is arguably more powerful today, I completely missed the boat when I predicted that Apple would not not get into the television business.
For what it’s worth, I hereby predict that Apple will win at least one Emmy Award for its original programming in a year or two.
Finally, my second New Years column (and many subsequent New Years columns) focused on the resolution to properly save your precious data in the New Year. For example, here are the tips from 1998:
I recommend that you decide to back up daily and keep three backup sets, with at least one of them stored away from the computer, in another building, or in a safe. That way, even if your desktop is destroyed by fire or flood or stolen, you can still restore everything except your most recent work from the offsite backup. If this is overkill for you, even two sets, with one stored off-site, are better than one.
Interestingly, 22 years later, I still recommend the same.
Please resolve to back up properly (if you don’t already) and have a fabulous, prosperous and happy 2020!
And that’s all he wrote …